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Sure Favs

Systematic Value-Backing Model for High-Liquidity Markets

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The Strategic Logic

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The Sure Favs strategy is engineered for investors seeking a consistent, data-backed approach to backing market leaders. Rather than simply backing every favourite, the model utilizes a rigorous Filtering Algorithm to identify specific "High-Confidence" scenarios where the market price does not fully reflect the selection's statistical probability of winning.

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By focusing on these "Value Gaps," Sure Favs aims to build steady, incremental growth. It is the "Anchor" of the Exponential Bet portfolio—designed for stability and high-frequency execution.

 

Institutional-Grade Automation

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Like all systems in our portfolio, Sure Favs is powered by the Cloud Bet Bot API.

 

Server-Side Execution: The "Set and Forget" nature of this system means your capital is working 24/7. The strategy is hosted on secure cloud servers, removing the risk of local hardware failure or internet outages.

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  • Precision Entry: The automation ensures that bets are placed at the optimal time to capture the identified value, a feat nearly impossible for a manual bettor to achieve consistently.

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  • Market Focus: High-Liquidity Favorites

  • Strategic Position: Long (Backing)

  • Risk Profile: Conservative / Low-Volatility

  • Minimum Capital Allocation: 100 Points

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Betting Results
1/12/20 to 1/01/26
Direct to the Betfair Exchange 1 Point Per Bet Paying 2% Commission.

POINTS: 580.26

DRAWDOWN: 38.64

TOTAL BETS: 4483

WINS: 1576

LOSSES: 2907

STRIKE RATE: 35

ROI: 12.94

AVERAGE ODDS: 3.52

WINNING DAYS: 669

LOSING DAYS: 662

SF GRAPH.jpg

The Sure Favs performance curve illustrates our focus on steady capital appreciation through high-probability filtering.

By targeting value gaps at the top of the market, this model provides the foundational stability of the Exponential Bet portfolio

Automated Execution via Cloud Bet Bot

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To ensure these precision entries are never missed, PLM is powered by Cloud Bet Bot (developed by licensed Betfair developer Nigel Dove).

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  • 100% Autonomous: The software scans the markets and executes the dual-lay strategy without any manual input required.

  • Server-Side Reliability: Because the system is cloud-based, your device does not need to be powered on. The bot operates 24/7 on secure servers, ensuring entry at the exact moment the criteria are met.

  • Cross-Platform Monitoring: While the bot does the work, you maintain full visibility via any PC, Mac, or mobile device.

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